── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Federico Cina a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Federico Cina
Luca Nardi
54%46%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Federico Cina
10th · poor
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Federico Cina
23th · below avg
Luca Nardi
34th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#163
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Federico Cina■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | Q1 | Federico Cina | 6-4 3-0 RET |