── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Roberto Bautista Agut
83%17%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
82th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
37th · below avg
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
ESP
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Joao Fonseca | 7-6(4) 6-4 6-3 |