── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Joao Fonseca 90% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Joao Fonseca
Pierre Hugues Herbert
90%10%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Pierre Hugues Herbert
26th · below avg
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Pierre Hugues Herbert
5th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#10
model rank
#157
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
FRA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Joao FonsecaPierre Hugues Herbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR64Joao Fonseca7-6(4) 7-6(4) 6-4