── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 92% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Federico Coria
92%8%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Federico Coria
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#169
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
ARG
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Federico Coria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R16 | Joao Fonseca | 2-6 6-4 6-2 |