── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 93% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Federico Coria
93%7%
Hard: 96% / 4%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
83th · strong
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Joao Fonseca
88th · strong
Federico Coria
27th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#184
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
ARG
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Federico Coria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R16 | Joao Fonseca | 2-6 6-4 6-2 |