── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Botic Van De Zandschulp
76%24%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#62
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
NED
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Botic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Brussels | Hard | R32 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 7-5 7-6(2) |
| 2024-09-12 | Davis Cup Finals RR: NED vs BRA | Hard | RR | Joao Fonseca | 6-4 7-6(3) |