── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Alejandro Tabilo
64%36%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#30
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
BRA
country
CHI
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | R32 | Joao Fonseca | 7-6(1) 6-3 |
| 2026-02-09 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R16 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-3 3-6 7-5 |
| 2024-04-15 | Bucharest | Clay | QF | Alejandro Tabilo | 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |