── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Arthur Rinderknech
72%28%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#49
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
FRA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | R16 | Joao Fonseca | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Joao Fonseca | 7-5 4-6 6-3 |