── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Stefanos Tsitsipas
71%29%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#45
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
GRE
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | Davis Cup WG1 R1: GRE vs BRA | Hard | RR | Joao Fonseca | 6-4 3-6 7-5 |