── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Stefanos Tsitsipas
57%43%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
82th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#29
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
GRE
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Joao Fonseca | 7-6(3) 7-5 |
| 2025-09-13 | Davis Cup WG1 R1: GRE vs BRA | Hard | RR | Joao Fonseca | 6-4 3-6 7-5 |