── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Hubert Hurkacz
75%25%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#60
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
POL
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Joao Fonseca | 6-2 6-4 6-2 |