── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Miomir Kecmanovic
73%27%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Miomir Kecmanovic
66th · average
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Miomir Kecmanovic
84th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#50
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
SRB
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Miomir Kecmanovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Joao Fonseca | 7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-3 |