── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Zizou Bergs
78%22%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Zizou Bergs
39th · below avg
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Zizou Bergs
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#74
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
BEL
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Zizou Bergs
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-23 | Eastbourne | Grass | R32 | Joao Fonseca | 6-7(8) 6-0 6-3 |