── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Joao Fonseca 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Joao Fonseca
Jenson Brooksby
86%14%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Jenson Brooksby
17th · poor
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Jenson Brooksby
65th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#10
model rank
#129
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Joao FonsecaJenson Brooksby
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR64Joao Fonseca6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4