── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Fabian Marozsan
75%25%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
83th · strong
Fabian Marozsan
63th · average
Return
Joao Fonseca
88th · strong
Fabian Marozsan
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#79
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
HUN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Fabian Marozsan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Joao Fonseca | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Fabian Marozsan | 6-3 7-6(4) |