── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Bu Yunchaokete
68%32%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
83th · strong
Bu Yunchaokete
68th · average
Return
Joao Fonseca
88th · strong
Bu Yunchaokete
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#56
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
CHN
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Bu Yunchaokete
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Joao Fonseca | 4-6 6-2 7-5 |