── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Jesper De Jong
80%20%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
82th · strong
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#112
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
NED
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Joao Fonseca | 6-1 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-04-27 | Estoril CH | Clay | R32 | Jesper De Jong | 6-2 7-5 |