── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Flavio Cobolli
61%39%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
ITA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-19 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Joao Fonseca | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Flavio Cobolli | 5-7 7-6(3) 7-6(8) |