── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 90% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Jacob Fearnley
90%10%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
GBR
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Joao Fonseca | 6-4 6-1 7-6(5) |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Joao Fonseca | 6-2 1-6 6-3 |
| 2024-12-30 | Canberra CH | Hard | SF | Joao Fonseca | 6-3 6-3 |