── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Dominic Stricker
88%12%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
83th · strong
Dominic Stricker
34th · below avg
Return
Joao Fonseca
88th · strong
Dominic Stricker
9th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#170
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
BRA
country
SUI
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Dominic Stricker
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Davis Cup WG1 R1: BRA vs SUI | Hard | RR | Joao Fonseca | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |