── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
83%17%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
82th · strong
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#133
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
FRA
185cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Joao Fonseca | 7-6(6) 6-3 |