── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Joao Fonseca 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Joao Fonseca
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
81%19%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
94th · elite
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#10
model rank
#98
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
FRA
185cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Joao FonsecaGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20BaselHardR32Joao Fonseca7-6(6) 6-3