── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Joao Fonseca
Jakub Mensik
53%47%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Jakub Mensik
85th · strong
Return
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Jakub Mensik
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#13
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
CZE
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Joao Fonseca■ Jakub Mensik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Jakub Mensik | 6-4 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R16 | Joao Fonseca | W/O |
| 2024-12-18 | Next Gen Finals | Hard | RR | Joao Fonseca | 3-4(4) 4-3(8) 4-3(5) 3-4(4) 4-3(5) |