── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Matteo Arnaldi 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Martin Landaluce
Matteo Arnaldi
39%61%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Martin Landaluce
20th · below avg
Matteo Arnaldi
29th · below avg
Return
Martin Landaluce
61th · average
Matteo Arnaldi
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#134
model rank
#86
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Martin Landaluce■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-16Cincinnati MastersHardR64Martin Landaluce6-4 4-6 6-4