── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Martin Damm
86%14%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Martin Damm
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#109
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Left
ESP
country
USA
—
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Martin Damm
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Charlottesville CH | Hard | F | Rafael Jodar | 6-3 7-6(2) |
| 2025-10-13 | Lincoln CH | Hard | F | Rafael Jodar | 6-7(3) 6-3 6-3 |