── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Kei Nishikori
86%14%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 17% / 83%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
JPN
—
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Rafael Jodar | 6-3 6-2 |