── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Marco Trungelliti
85%15%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Marco Trungelliti
23th · below avg
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#6
model rank
#106
Clay
best surface
Clay
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Rafael JodarMarco Trungelliti
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30MarrakechClayFRafael Jodar6-3 6-2