── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
James Duckworth
87%13%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 35% / 65%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
James Duckworth
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#6
model rank
#117
Clay
best surface
Hard
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Rafael JodarJames Duckworth
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Rafael Jodar6-1 6-7(5) 6-4 7-5