── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 94% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Mitchell Krueger
94%6%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Mitchell Krueger
11th · poor
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Mitchell Krueger
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#6
model rank
#176
Clay
best surface
Hard
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Rafael JodarMitchell Krueger
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardQ1Rafael Jodar6-3 6-2
2025-09-08Winston Salem CHHardQFRafael Jodar6-3 6-2