── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Cristian Garin
82%18%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Cristian Garin
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#98
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
CHI
—
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Davis Cup QLS R2: CHI vs ESP | Clay | RR | Rafael Jodar | 6-0 6-2 |