── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Nicolas Jarry
88%12%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
CHI
—
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Canberra CH | Hard | R32 | Rafael Jodar | 6-3 6-4 |