── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Cameron Norrie
70%30%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 27% / 73%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Cameron Norrie
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#39
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Left
ESP
country
GBR
—
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rafael Jodar■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayQFRafael Jodar6-3 6-2
2026-02-23AcapulcoHardR32Rafael Jodar6-3 6-2