── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Alexander Bublik
64%36%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Alexander Bublik
47th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#30
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
KAZ
—
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rafael Jodar■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-25Laver CupHardRRRafael Jodar6-2 6-3