── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Alexandre Muller
89%11%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#6
model rank
#133
Clay
best surface
Clay
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Rafael JodarAlexandre Muller
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30MarrakechClayQFRafael Jodar6-2 2-0 RET