── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Alexandre Muller
88%12%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 64% / 36%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#147
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
—
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rafael Jodar■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30MarrakechClayQFRafael Jodar6-2 2-0 RET