── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Benjamin Bonzi
79%21%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 28% / 72%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Benjamin Bonzi
52th · average
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Benjamin Bonzi
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#74
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
—
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rafael Jodar■ Benjamin Bonzi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardQ2Rafael Jodar6-4 6-4