── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Nuno Borges
78%22%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
POR
—
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Nuno Borges
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Rafael Jodar | 7-6(4) 6-4 |