── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Corentin Moutet
83%17%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Left
ESP
country
FRA
—
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Rafael Jodar | 4-6 6-1 6-3 |
