── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Corentin Moutet
83%17%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Left
ESP
country
FRA
—
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rafael Jodar■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-06Canada MastersHardR64Rafael Jodar4-6 6-1 6-3