── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
86%14%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 83% / 17%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
17th · poor
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#131
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
—
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rafael Jodar■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR16Rafael Jodar6-3 6-3
2026-03-30MarrakechClaySFRafael Jodar6-2 6-1