── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 92% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Brandon Holt
92%8%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 99% / 1%
Grass: 38% / 62%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Brandon Holt
8th · poor
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Brandon Holt
24th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#6
model rank
#159
Clay
best surface
Hard
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Rafael JodarBrandon Holt
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13Lincoln CHHardQFRafael Jodar6-0 7-5