── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 91% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Brandon Holt
91%9%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 99% / 1%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Brandon Holt
9th · poor
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Brandon Holt
22th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
—
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rafael Jodar■ Brandon Holt
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13Lincoln CHHardQFRafael Jodar6-0 7-5