── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Sho Shimabukuro
89%11%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#140
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
JPN
—
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Canberra CH | Hard | QF | Rafael Jodar | 6-2 6-4 |