── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Aleksandar Kovacevic
86%14%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 70% / 30%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Aleksandar Kovacevic
61th · average
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Aleksandar Kovacevic
2th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#124
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
—
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rafael Jodar■ Aleksandar Kovacevic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Rafael Jodar6-1 6-0 6-4