── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Jesper De Jong
84%16%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#112
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
NED
—
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Rafael Jodar | 2-6 7-5 6-4 |