── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Lorenzo Musetti
57%43%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Lorenzo Musetti
76th · strong
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
—
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Rafael Jodar | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2026-08-01 | Washington | Hard | QF | Rafael Jodar | 1-6 6-1 6-4 |