── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Tomas Machac
76%24%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#64
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
CZE
—
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Marrakech | Clay | R16 | Rafael Jodar | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |