── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Tomas Machac
70%30%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#35
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
CZE
—
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Marrakech | Clay | R16 | Rafael Jodar | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |