── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rafael Jodar
Kyrian Jacquet
81%19%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Kyrian Jacquet
40th · average
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Kyrian Jacquet
69th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
—
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rafael Jodar■ Kyrian Jacquet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05Canberra CHHardSFRafael Jodar6-3 0-0 RET