── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Luca Van Assche
87%13%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Luca Van Assche
15th · poor
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Luca Van Assche
79th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
—
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Luca Van Assche
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | Q3 | Rafael Jodar | 6-3 0-6 6-1 |