── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Alex Michelsen
62%38%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#24
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
—
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Rafael Jodar | 7-6(2) 6-7(5) 4-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Rafael Jodar | 7-6(2) 6-7(5) 4-6 6-3 6-3 |