── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Learner Tien
59%41%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Learner Tien
63th · average
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#19
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Left
ESP
country
USA
—
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Rafael Jodar | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Next Gen Finals | Hard | RR | Rafael Jodar | 1-4 4-3(3) 1-4 4-2 4-3(4) |