Pablo Carreno Busta

ESP · Right-handed · 34 yrs · 188 cm

model rank
#56
in the world
ATP rank
#71
current
record
617-362
ATP-level
── the model's read

How good is he, really?

Pablo is the model's world #56 — in the top 31% of the rated field. The model rates him 15 spots higher than the ATP (#71) — a player the rankings are slow to catch. He's an all-court player (average serve, average return), strongest on clay courts. Recent form: 4324 over the last 52 weeks.

── surface Elo

By surface

Hard
1931
Clay
1942best
Grass
1444
── vs the rated field

Scouting

overall Elo
196869th · average
serve rating
42th · average
return rating
62th · average

percentile across players with a current rating

── model Elo over time

Elo trajectory

── ATP ranking over time · lower is better

Ranking trajectory

── nearest on the rating profile

Similar players

── year by year

Seasons

yearW-Lwin%titles
202625-1366%1
202541-2760%3
202411-1346%
20232-529%
202237-2560%1
202138-1967%2
202020-1263%
201935-2261%1
201831-2258%
201737-2659%1
201641-2661%2
201537-3154%2
201434-2756%3
201392-1983%11
20129-1243%
201152-2270%5
201046-2268%1
200929-1763%1
20080-20%
── filter the record · shareable link

Splits

All 979 matches — pick filters to split the record, serve/return and log below.

── career · point data

Serve & return profile

Serve
aces5.0%
double faults2.5%
1st serve in64%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won52%
serve pts won63%
hold %78%
Return
return pts won39%
break %26%
BP conversion42%
Under pressure
BP saved (serve)60%
BP saved3074/5083
BP conversion42%

Career aggregate over 771 matches with point data · hold/break derived from break-point outcomes.

── 979 matches

Match log

datetournamentsurfrdopponentresscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Thanasi Kokkinakis #855W7-5 4-6 1-0 RET
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Jiri Lehecka #12W6-3 7-6(3) 6-3
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR32Thiago Agustin Tirante #60W7-6(0) 7-5 3-6 6-4
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR16Rafael Jodar #29L4-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2
2026-05-12Valencia CHClayR16Sebastian Baez #65W5-7 7-5 7-5
2026-05-12Valencia CHClayR32Francisco Comesana #114W6-4 6-3
2026-05-12Valencia CHClayQFJaume Munar #38LW/O
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayQ2Stan Wawrinka #125WW/O
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayQ1Martin Damm #115W6-3 6-3
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR128Alejandro Tabilo #35L6-2 6-1
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Marton Fucsovics #54W4-6 7-6(5) 6-2
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Alejandro Davidovich Fokina #24L6-3 6-3
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayQ1Pedro Martinez #125L6-3 4-3 RET
2026-03-23Alicante CHClayR16Alejo Sanchez Quilez #527W3-6 7-5 6-3
2026-03-23Alicante CHClayQFPedro Martinez #113W6-4 4-6 6-4
2026-03-23Alicante CHClayR32Svyatoslav Gulin #443W7-5 6-1
2026-03-23Alicante CHClaySFSebastian Ofner #86W3-6 6-3 6-4
2026-03-23Alicante CHClayFPablo Llamas Ruiz #191L6-4 6-2
2026-03-16Murcia CHClaySFKimmer Coppejans #244W6-2 6-3
2026-03-16Murcia CHClayQFAndrea Pellegrino #128W6-3 6-4
2026-03-16Murcia CHClayR16Felix Gill #252W4-6 6-3 6-2
2026-03-16Murcia CHClayR32Carlos Sanchez Jover #340W7-6(3) 6-1
2026-03-16Murcia CHClayFRoberto Carballes Baena #165W6-4 6-3
2026-02-23DubaiHardQ2Luca Nardi #109W6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(5)
2026-02-23DubaiHardQ1Botic Van De Zandschulp #61W6-3 6-2
2026-02-23DubaiHardR32Denis Shapovalov #36W6-2 6-4
2026-02-23DubaiHardR16Jiri Lehecka #24L7-6(6) 6-4
2026-02-16DohaHardQ1Reda Bennani #562W6-4 6-2
2026-02-16DohaHardQ2Billy Harris #144W7-5 6-3
2026-02-16DohaHardR32Quentin Halys #72L4-6 7-5 6-3
2026-02-09RotterdamHardQ1Roberto Carballes Baena #175L6-4 3-6 6-1
2026-02-02MontpellierHardR32Miomir Kecmanovic #69W4-6 6-3 7-6(4)
2026-02-02MontpellierHardR16Tallon Griekspoor #29L6-4 6-4
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Jakub Mensik #17L7-5 4-6 2-6 7-6(1) 6-3
2026-01-12AucklandHardQ1Vit Kopriva #100L6-3 1-6 6-4
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardQ2Arthur Cazaux #63W5-3 RET
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardQ1Mattia Bellucci #73W6-4 2-6 7-6(3)
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardR32Grigor Dimitrov #47L6-3 6-2
2025-11-23Davis Cup Finals F: ITA vs ESPHardRRMatteo Berrettini #56L6-3 6-4
2025-11-22Davis Cup Finals SF: ESP vs GERHardRRJan Lennard Struff #84W6-4 7-6(6)
2025-11-20Davis Cup Finals QF: ESP vs CZEHardRRJakub Mensik #19L7-5 6-4
2025-10-13Olbia CHHardR32Pierluigi Basile #655W6-2 6-7(5) 6-3
2025-10-13Olbia CHHardQFAlejandro Tabilo #73W6-3 1-6 7-6(3)
2025-10-13Olbia CHHardSFMartin Landaluce #110W6-2 3-6 6-3
2025-10-13Olbia CHHardR16Luka Pavlovic #217W3-6 6-1 6-2
2025-10-13Olbia CHHardFLuca Van Assche #238L7-6(5) 6-7(1) 6-2
2025-10-06Roanne CHHardR32Milos Karol #363L6-7(8) 7-5 7-6(7)
2025-09-29Villena CHHardFHugo Grenier #195W4-6 6-1 6-4
2025-09-29Villena CHHardR32Dali Blanch #446W6-2 4-6 6-3
2025-09-29Villena CHHardR16Eliakim Coulibaly #305W6-4 6-3