── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stan Wawrinka
Pablo Carreno Busta
32%68%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 80% / 20%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stan Wawrinka
69th · average
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Return
Stan Wawrinka
16th · poor
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#128
model rank
#59
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SUI
country
ESP
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stan Wawrinka■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
Hard1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q2 | Pablo Carreno Busta | W/O |
| 2022-07-11 | Bastad | Clay | R32 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2017-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | SF | Stan Wawrinka | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2016-05-16 | Geneva | Clay | QF | Stan Wawrinka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2013-04-29 | Estoril | Clay | SF | Stan Wawrinka | 6-3 3-6 6-1 |