── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Dusan Lajovic
Pablo Carreno Busta
32%68%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Dusan Lajovic
36th · below avg
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Return
Dusan Lajovic
52th · average
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#131
model rank
#56
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
ESP
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Dusan Lajovic■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–3
Grass1–0
Hard0–2
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-01 | Seville CH | Clay | QF | Dusan Lajovic | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Dusan Lajovic | 3-6 6-4 RET |
| 2021-07-12 | Hamburg | Clay | QF | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2017-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2015-05-17 | Nice | Clay | R16 | Dusan Lajovic | 6-3 4-6 7-5 |
| 2014-05-11 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q2 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
| 2013-06-10 | Blois CH | Clay | QF | Dusan Lajovic | 6-3 1-6 6-1 |
| 2009-04-06 | Egypt F6 | Clay | R16 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-5 4-6 6-4 |