── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Martin Damm
63%37%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Martin Damm
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#56
model rank
#109
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
USA
188cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Martin Damm
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q1 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 6-3 |