── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Adrian Mannarino
64%36%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#107
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
FRA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | Q2 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-02-10 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4 |
| 2018-04-23 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-2 4-6 7-6(6) |